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25th June 2013

Potential for change

Shiv Puri
  • There is potential for a favorable outcome to the next general elections likely in May 2014 if not earlier. (In the past, markets have jumped 20%-30% in a week when the elections results are favorable to growth) The prime ministerial candidate from the current opposition party (BJP) is Mr Narendra Modi, whose track record in India in promoting capitalist policies, eliminating bureaucracy and focusing on growth is unparalleled.
  • Gujarat’s GDP has been growing at >10% per year, while the country’s GDP has slowed down to 5% per year. The state has attracted over $100 billion in investments over the last decade, multiples of any other state.
There is potential for a favorable outcome to the next general elections likely in May 2014 if not earlier. (In the past, markets have jumped 20%-30% in a week when the elections results are favorable to growth) The prime ministerial candidate from the current opposition party (BJP) is Mr Narendra Modi, whose track record in India in promoting capitalist policies, eliminating bureaucracy and focusing on growth is unparalleled. He has been the Chief Minister of Gujarat for the last 15 years – a record, as no incumbent has ever been elected for three consecutive times. During this time frame, Gujarat has become one of the most industrially developed and business friendly states in India. Gujarat’s GDP has been growing at >10% per year, while the country’s GDP has slowed down to 5% per year. The state has attracted over $100 billion in investments over the last decade, multiples of any other state. It is the default location for any industrialist to set up a manufacturing unit or an infrastructure project.

Two years ago, Mr Modi was instrumental in clearing Tata Motor’s car manufacturing investment in Gujarat in 24 hours after another state could not make a decision for over 12 months. This particular plant got up and running in a record 16 months. That is what India needs today! The infrastructure in the state in terms of road, power availability or the financial health of its power distribution companies is generally regarded as best in the country. It is a showcase of what Indian entrepreneurs are capable of doing, if supported by sensible policies and regulations.

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